Afghanistan’s Economic Future: Linked to CPEC, Pakistan and the Region


Afghanistan has been taken over by the Mujahedin. Not a single bullet fired. No civil war. No resistance. No forced closure of girls’ schools. No oppression of women and minorities. No attacks on diplomats or embassies. No hostages were taken and no anger was unleashed. And all of the above is not good. Not good for America and its allies. America has no plans for a peaceful transition. India has overestimated its covert operations capabilities. NATO thought the Mujahedin were like the TTP. You see, America has historically needed an imaginary enemy since 1958.

From the Korean War in Cuba of JFK to Communism of McCarthy to Iran of Carters to Iraq of Bush to the Soviet Union of Raegan to the Colombians, the Sandinistas, the Libyans to the Afghans and recently the Chinese. America cannot survive without a perceived enemy. Economic and other. Never in the past 70 years has she been involved in a military conflict anywhere in the world. Because it helps its military-industrial complex, creates revenue, increases local GDP, and the government ends up collecting 34% + in corporate taxes.

Read more: The world must help Afghanistan make the right choices before it’s too late

What he spends to create a war loops back and forth for himself, the American citizens, the business lobby, the Pentagon and his image of being MORE POWERFUL THAN YOU. And don’t forget the expansion of its military bases, 120+ in 80 countries around the world. America’s top 14 defense and related companies in the war in Afghanistan alone earned more than $ 1.8 trillion in stock value.

Understanding the Indian Connection

Let’s start with the fact that a stable Pakistan is not in favor of India. Let us go one step further by saying that an economically strong Pakistan is death to Indian designs. And for these two reasons alone, India has infiltrated Afghanistan. A country shares no history with, no border with, no culture with, and no economic connection with. Nearly 2 dozen consulates, thousands of employees and a missing spy team. With one goal in mind: to destabilize Pakistan with terrorism, resulting in an economically unstable Pakistan.

This was the mantra on which the link between India and Afghanistan was built under the Ghani regime. Ghani helped India by bending over backwards. India aimed to destabilize Pakistan and the Ghani regime was the facilitator. These Indian conceptions began to crumble when Iran severed ties in a very unexpected move a year ago. You see, the Iranians are smart. They followed the smell of money and that smell was stronger from China than from India. China pledged and signed a deal to invest $ 620 billion under its Belt And Road BRI initiative, the parent project running CPEC, in Iran and Iran immediately changed its tone.

The flute played Chinese tunes instead of the Indian RAAG. Good for Pakistan and one thing I add here is that nothing in the intelligence world is an accident. It was the preamble to the Mujahedin takeover of Afghanistan over the next 14 months. And history has proven it. Iran knew it, China made it easier and Pakistan… well let’s leave what Pakistan “could” have done.

Read more: US Vice President Harris promises ‘enduring engagement’ with Afghanistan as top priority

If you think that all of Afghanistan fell into the hands of the Mujahedin by accident, you must read the world history of preparations and infiltrations. When the Afghan army was formed by the Americans, and they spent 103 billion dollars to raise this useless army, 11 years of the budget of the Pakistani army, they first included the non-pushers.

Review of the presence of the Mujahedin in Afghanistan

This created an imbalance and they were forced to include some of the Pushtoons of the 17 million people of this race in Afghanistan. In my opinion, this was the perfect breakthrough for the Mujahedin to infiltrate their supporters directly at the recruiting level. And it came in handy when the mujahedin announced the takeover, masses of the Afghan army began to surrender. You see, the armed forces are also a psychological phenomenon. Once the majority sees the high officials surrender, the lower ranks no longer have a leader, they surrender as well.

And that is exactly what happened in Afghanistan. Rendezvous within 19 days without firing a single bullet. The golden ring of treasures. Most of the countries of Central Asia are landlocked. The ring that includes them are the countries, Russia, China, Iran, Pakistan, and Turkey. And the only obstacle to economic activities connecting all these countries across the land was Afghanistan. All other Central Asian countries fall into this ring. Imagine an entire region connected by roads and tunnels for the first time in modern history after the concept of the Silk Road disappeared.

Now imagine the CPEC and the BRI. Pakistan is taking the lead due to the only deep water port, Gwadar and road connectivity to all nations put together which produce over 56% of global GDP. With the highest oil reserves, Russia is the world’s largest oil producer. The best mineral deposits, Afghanistan has over $ 1 trillion worth of rare earth minerals, mostly lithium, the new oil for the next several centuries, with China leading the world in terms of economic power and Pakistan being his ally of all time. The economic activity that will be created will eclipse any country.

Read more: Afghanistan debacle potentially places UAE in shades of gray – Dr James Dorsey

A giant economic block in the making.

Safe passage through Afghanistan for all countries connecting it to Gwadar and safe passage through Central Asian countries and Iran to Turkey connecting Western Europe to these countries. 92 trillion dollars of global GDP and 56% of it being stranded in these countries and the first time in modern history a combined trade bloc. And none of this could be done without Pakistan and its deep water port. Simply. Afghanistan has become the graveyard of dreams of economic domination by the West and India.

The worst America can do right now is freeze Afghan assets abroad, no more than $ 15 billion. And my prediction is that he will and will do it in installments. Will it kill the Afghan economy? No. Temporary chaos? Yes. Nothing more than that because it was intended and I’m sure it was anticipated in more ways than we can imagine. The conclusion is that the balance of economic power has tilted towards the east. Pakistan will have regional significance like never before. Economic activity will pick up over the next 6 to 12 months and continue to increase. Afghanistan will attract an immense amount of reconstruction and development funds.

Read more: Critics ask Biden about 2,500 withdrawal from Afghanistan

Not just roads, but institutions like tax administration, financial market development, banking sector improvements, dams, etc. Together, all of the countries I have named above will reshape the region and Pakistan will be at the heart of it all. Insha’allah. The beautiful days are coming. 70,000 lives of our martyrs have finally brought us to this point. Let us pay tribute to them and play our cards well. And the first step to playing the cards right is to STAY UNITED and fight FAKE NEWS.

Pakistan Zindabad

Mir Muhammad Ali Khan is a geostrategic analyst with training in banking and finance. He was the first Muslim founder of an investment bank on Wall Street, is the author of 4 books, has published over 800 articles and is a well-known media commentator on iinternational problems. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author clean and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Global Village Space.

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